ARGUS TRAQPak expects 0.2% gain in 2025 private jet activity

The focus on declining Part 135 charter and jet card flying is likely to switch to Part 91 flights per ARGUS TRAQPak analysts.

By Doug Gollan, January 24, 2025

North American private jet flight segments are expected to increase by 0.2% in 2025, according to the annual ARGUS TRAQPak forecast.

That means around 3.4 million flights.

January, March, June, July, August, and November are expected to see gains.

September is forecast to be flat.

January is expected to be the industry’s best month, with a 5.2% year-over-year increase.

After that, July is forecast to increase by 1.4%.

March and August are forecast to be up 0.7%

June flying per ARGUS will rise by 1.0%.

As measured by segments, a 3.8% dip in February is expected to be the worst month.

May, with a forecasted 1.5% drop, and April, which is expected to go down by 0.8%, will also be in the red.

ARGUS calls its forecast “essentially flat.”

“Business aviation seems to have finally settled into its normal following all the peaks and valleys from Covid, as the last two years have been fairly consistent,” per ARGUS.

Regarding 2025’s business aviation outlook, ARGUS analysts say, “The biggest question mark in flight activity in North America right now has probably changed from Part 135 (charter and jet cards) to Part 91 (owner/corporate flight department flying) activity, with its continual shrinking.”

While ARGUS also notes questions about Europe’s future and softness in the large cabin segment, “Business aviation overall is doing well.”

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